Why AI will get 1600 times better by 2025/26 (Patreon)

Great Q from Zamalek

@InvestAnswers  Hi James I believe AI will be transformative too  but 1600x in 2 years seems excessive what you are basing this on, has there even been a precedence for such a rise in 2 years in other markets that you can draw upon?

Reason for a 1600x increase in capability was first spoken of by Chamath in late 2023.  He did not give specific reasons but if you look at the pace of advancement over the last 13 mths and and amt of compute it is easy to back into. 

Key Reason I see for 1600 fold increase:

• Compound impact of learning in AI technologies.
• Advancements in neural networks.
• Increased processing and compute power.
• Rapid developments in AI technologies.
• Exponential growth in data available for AI learning.
• Accessibility to powerful computing resources.
• Breakthroughs in AI algorithms.
• Substantial multi-deca and centi-billion dollar investments in AI.
• Democratization of AI tools and technologies.
• Growing adoption and integration of AI in various sectors.

Q2: Have I seen anything else like it?

Yes - 20 plus years ago Cisco developed the Gigabit switch.  A good friend is a top network engineer there.  This was a huge breakthru.  Now Cisco Catalyst 9600 Series switches are among the fastest Cisco switches available in the market. They are twice as fast and offer twice the capacity of traditional switches, with a switching capacity of up to 25.6 Tbps.