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This describes how a sophisticated hedge fund might take a patient approach to build a Bitcoin position, suggesting that the fund might look for opportunistic moments to enter the market.

ETF Cash Inflows: When retail investors put cash into a Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF), the fund itself must purchase Bitcoin in the spot market to back the ETF shares. This is because ETFs need to hold the underlying asset that they track. Ignore all the silly FUD out there. 

Market Liquidity and Price Impact will be nuts. If there's a significant influx of cash, such as $1 billion, on a random day (like a Tuesday), and there aren't many people selling Bitcoin at that time ("there are hardly any sellers"), the fund would still be obligated to fulfill the demand for Bitcoin. This could lead to a substantial market order.

As a consequence of a large market order with little selling pressure, the price of Bitcoin could be driven up significantly. Such an order could push the price up by $10,000 "on a single hourly candle." 

PER SANJAY "*This is something terribly IMPORTANT , Gary the 🐌 has done retail plebs like us a HUGE FAVOR by mandating CASH CLEARANCE"

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Anonymous

What about when Jane Street Frequency Machines hook up to this thing?? I know they fade a lot of risk and trar up the bond market

Anonymous

I was curious if they would be buying OTC (until dry) to avoid moving the price. - Also if most of these have already put in seed to start the fund. In the ETF language - what is the period that they are able to play with the gap before they have to purchase more BTC?

Anonymous

I've been asking this question for weeks on the Sunday Q and A but haven't been answered. Specifically, how much OTC buying is possible and what impact (or non-impact) will that have on price increase. On top of that, if firms like Blackrock effectively own miners, could the supply they get from them (slowly stockpiled) be enough to cover their clients needs. In that case they may not need to buy much on the market at all. What I don't know is whether, in terms of $ values, this argument even makes sense. Perhaps not.