Options Probability of BTC hitting ATH before halving (Patreon)

Caroline Mauron, co-founder of a digital-asset derivatives liquidity provider, suggests that the options market is pricing in a 20% to 25% probability of Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high before the next halving event. The all-time high is $69,000.

Per the options market and likely through analysis of implied volatility and other sophisticated financial modeling tools, there is roughly a 1 in 4 to 1 in 5 chance that Bitcoin will reach a price above $69,000 before the next halving event. 

NFA