Home
Artists
Search Recent Random
Posts
Search DMs Popular Hash Lookup Tags Random
Importer
Import FAQ
Register
Partychan Telegram Find&Fuck Waifus ThePornDude
Home Artists Posts Import Register

Detailed Thread on MSTR - MC, Shares, Debt etc (Patreon)

Published:
2024-01-10 17:05:26
Imported:
2024-01
Tags:

Content

Hi Team

Here is a detailed thread covering MSTR

MSTR STOCK 

I know people are upset that MSTR prices down and that is for two reasons that I've explained multiple times

#1 Michael is selling yes this happens sometimes he's selling $211 million worth of stock

#2 of all the SPOT ETF news makes bitcoin proxies look less attractive this is all normal.

IA GAMBIT CRUSHED IT

But remember this I made a decision early 2023 to invest in synthetic Longs and MicroStrategy and that position has become far larger than my bitcoin position which I've been accumulating since 2017. 

My gambit to invest in MicroStrategy over bitcoin has paid off in spades. 

I'm still holding and I even bought more MicroStrategy yesterday. 

MARKET CAP DISCREPANCY

Third, there is a discrepancy between MSTR listed MarketCaps - from Google Finance, Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg, Nasdaq, CNBC, etc. - all are listed in Discourse, so you can see for yourself.  My model uses Google Finance and auto calcs # of shares to calculate wholecoiner status etc.  My Models are there so people can make a copy and tweak to their own assumptions.  Mine worked for my like a treasure since 2020.  Remember, models are directional in nature.... 

NASDAQ:

GOOGLE


MSTR DEBT

Fourth re DEBT - re debt - they have 2.2bn in debt - but majority is at zero interest - so until 2025-2027 not a big concern. Also they had 1.2bn in Market Cap before they even bought BTC - so you can net off 1.2bn from Debt is another way to look at it - so net debt is 1bn until 2025 and BTC value.  

MSTR SELF-FULFILLING PROPHECY

Fifth - the gambit is they issue stock to buy BTC - in a bull market it works like a charm. 

IA MODELS - model here 

I make models so you can make a copy and make your own assumptions.  I make mine. I share all I do.  You can take that data and make your own investment decisions. 

IA ARB CLOUD

Note IA ARB CLOUD uses TradingView financial Data in the model - not Google Finance

Final note, these are busy times, and I am no longer in a position to answer the same question 100 times over... so hope this will put things to rest. '

Files

InvestAnswers - IA Community Forum

InvestAnswers Community Forum

Comments

Anonymous

If you look at ARB cloud for vast majority of its history MSTR runs low below its intrinsic bitcoin value. It only about 3 times went up to close to its value. I’ve taken massive losses in my retirement account on MSTR now and wondering if it’s worth keeping or better to just sell and go into BTC ETF. Reality is the arbitrage never really closes on MsTR often and not sure it will again anytime soon so is ETF the faster horse now ??

Anonymous

so the narrative that MSTR is dumping because ppl are jumping to ETFs makes total sense. The narrative that the plunge has anything to do with Saylor selling shares is BS. Yes he's selling shares every business day - 5k shares to be exact. Do you know what percent of the daily volume this represents? 0.25% -> in the words of our beloved James, that qualifies as scrumptious nothingburger.