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Hi Team

This is a sneak preview of the DCA on steroids model for a bear market. The assumption is bitcoin will retrace after hitting all-time highs but only to a certain level based on History.  Using this optimized model you will end up buying 20% more Bitcoin over a 2-year period. Simple take away, we are now 58% from ATH - so the message is DCA as much as you can when your timeframe is 24 mths out or longer.  Note BTC spends very little of its time 57% or greater off ATH so DCAing at this level is extremely hard to time. 

ASSUMPTIONS:

  • The scenario assumes we invest $100 to Per week. 
  • Historically Monday is always the best time to buy bitcoin 
  • If Bitcoin is not a certain percentage off all-time high - you delay the buy. 

Then based on following tranches you invest in appropriate amounts:

  • Less than 10% from ATH $0 invested
  • 10-20% from ATH $0 invested
  • 20-30% from ATH $0 invested
  • 30-35% from ATH $0 invested
  • 35-40% from ATH $166
  • 40-45% from ATH $264
  • 45-50% from ATH $426
  • 50-57% from ATH $200
  • More than 57% from ATH $0

BULL MARKET DATA: If we are in a bull market, eg parabolic run, straight DCA works best buying on a Monday

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