DCA on Steroids - Bear Market Playbook (Patreon)
Published:
2022-05-28 19:35:00
Edited:
2022-05-28 19:39:23
Imported:
2022-05
Content
Hi Team
This is a sneak preview of the DCA on steroids model for a bear market. The assumption is bitcoin will retrace after hitting all-time highs but only to a certain level based on History. Using this optimized model you will end up buying 20% more Bitcoin over a 2-year period. Simple take away, we are now 58% from ATH - so the message is DCA as much as you can when your timeframe is 24 mths out or longer. Note BTC spends very little of its time 57% or greater off ATH so DCAing at this level is extremely hard to time.
ASSUMPTIONS:
- The scenario assumes we invest $100 to Per week.
- Historically Monday is always the best time to buy bitcoin
- If Bitcoin is not a certain percentage off all-time high - you delay the buy.
Then based on following tranches you invest in appropriate amounts:
- Less than 10% from ATH $0 invested
- 10-20% from ATH $0 invested
- 20-30% from ATH $0 invested
- 30-35% from ATH $0 invested
- 35-40% from ATH $166
- 40-45% from ATH $264
- 45-50% from ATH $426
- 50-57% from ATH $200
- More than 57% from ATH $0
BULL MARKET DATA: If we are in a bull market, eg parabolic run, straight DCA works best buying on a Monday