Algorand: Should I buy? Is $ALGO worth it? Detailed study w Price Predictions thru 2032
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#Algorand #Algo #AlgoPricePredictions
The opinions expressed in the video are for general informational purposes only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual or on any specific security or investment product. It is only intended to provide education about the financial industry.
0:00 Intro
0:20 IA Token Valuation Process
Launched in June 2019, Algorand is a permissionless and open-source smart contract blockchain network upon which anyone can build
Algorand solves the blockchain trilemma of speed, security, and decentralization simultaneously
Founded by Turing award-winning professor Silvio Micali, MIT, Algorand has a strong team’s backing, investors who have backed the project financially, and reliable technology
2:00 What it Does
The public version of the Algorand blockchain is primarily designed to enable other developers to create new kinds of applications fuelled by cryptocurrency with low transaction fees and fast finality.
They call this FutureFi on Algorand
Create & Deploy Tokens, NFTs, Stablecoins, Securities, Currencies
Simple & Cost Effective Payment Infrastructure
Create New Financial Tools, Protocols and Services
3:00 Background - What is Algorand used for?
4:00 Bringing Cool Use Cases to Life!
5:00 How it Plays Algorand has the projects like Circle and run the currency for the Marshall Islands
6:00 Target Industries
ALGO focuses on:
Financial services
Microfinance
Government and PS (eg CBDCs)
Insurance
Real estate tokenization
Fraud detection
Copyright mgt eg NFTs, fractional NFTs and more
7:00 Scorecard Ranking [40th 2.9bn MC]
8:00 Benchmark Ranking
9:00 Value Propositions - Green
Carbon Negative blockchain
Responded to Musk Directly
Ties in with work on Marshall Islands
Pushing payments infrastructure
10:00 Value Propositions - Staking
11:00 TRILEMMA Value Propositions In the old days: speed, quality or cost. Pick 2
In the blockchain world: scale, security or decentralized. Pick 2
Algorand is like Solana
12:00 Algorand Adoption
Use cases have expanded
DeFi use cases being built
CBDC with Marshall Islands
NFT play
Stablecoin Play
13:00 Ecosystem
Integrations of Note:
Polygon (Matic)
Amazon Managed Blockchain
Avalanche
Binance Smart Chain (BSC)
Anyswap
Arkane
Crypto.com
Cudo Miner
Dune Analytics
Ethermine
Ethpool
Harmony
MetaMask
Mintable
PhoenixMiner
QuickSwap
Ren
Substrate
ethOS
14:00 Longevity and Track Record Silvio started Algorand in 2017 with the goal of improving Bitcoin's underlying decentralized ledger technology Within two years of starting work on Algorand, the project would raise its first $4 million seed round in February of 2019, quickly followed by $62 million raised in an ALGO Dutch auction run on Algorand’s own PPOS blockchain
Algorand’s PPOS blockchain saw its mainnet launch in June of 2019
15:00 Price Prediction - Token Supply
Max Supply Cap of Supply Cap 9,979,490,657 tokens
Currently 1.04BN have already entered the market meaning 150M+ will be added to the market thru rewards, staking etc 15% inflation
16:00 Price Prediction - Token Supply
ICO at $3
Tanked
Hit $1.86 8 Feb and since then has stayed in a range
Now at 200 DMA which could prove to be strong support
Currently 0.94c
16:05 10 Price Models
People love to model ALGO
Some conservative numbers
Some crazy numbers
2030 - $167 = 1.7 Trillion
Price Prediction Coin Price Forecasts 2021-2032
16:55 10 Price Prediction Models w/o Crazy Forecasts
2021 y/e avg 3.30
2025 y/e avg $5
2030 y/e $4 which makes sense when you consider coin inflation.
$4 = $40 BN market cap
17:00 IA Prediction
Range based on growth rates and relative market caps
Also takes into account token inflation adding 150M token per year
Range from $1.89 y/e 2021 to $4.56 in 2025 to $5.42 in 2030
2030 Market Cap approx $50BN ie 17x higher but remember dilution
The token inflation is what drives these numbers down
IA Algorand Prediction 2021-2030
YEAR
17:20 Risks The Algo distribution process produces excessive dilution and inflation effects that may impair the pricing stability of the tokens ie 9 billion tokens to be released
Competition
Ethereum EIP 1559
Lack of focus - they seem to be going after too much eg vaccines, stablecoins, exchanges, real estate, NFTs etc
They need more Dapps
Many Positives Also
Algorand helps developers build quality decentralized applications.
It can be used to develop highly scalable DeFi projects, institutional finance products, and government CBDC projects
Algorand is used by hundreds of companies like Circle, IDEX, Republic, and Tether
Future is bright if they can keep momentum going
HOWEVER
I see it merely as a speculative asset - buy low sell high but not a long term keeper due to the token inflation