What Expensive Looks Like (Patreon)
Content
We know Nvidia is outrageous at the moment riding high on the AI wave - but I felt earlier this week that $317.50 was way stretched.
But we are in a strange time.
Let me explain why
1) all time high SPX Shorts
2) GDP up, GDP down - recession or not nobody knows
3) certain markets have cratered and are now rebounding eg residential real estate in select areas - but commercial is going to implode
4) YCI is insane
5) Liquidity has dried up
Yet - stocks like NVDA and LCID are at extreme valuations
I am currently short NVDA (long also deep in the money out to 2024 on a synthetic long).
Note Median Price to Sales Ratio on Nasdaq is 5.4.
But I may take a short flutter onLCID - but even though it is still richly valued the chart says it is already dead.
Final note, I consider Tesla the top AI play on Earth today.... and things like NVDA make TSLA look VERY cheap.
Nite all