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We know Nvidia is outrageous at the moment riding high on the AI wave - but I felt earlier this week that $317.50 was way stretched.  

But we are in a strange time. 

Let me explain why

1) all time high SPX Shorts

2) GDP up, GDP down - recession or not nobody knows

3) certain markets have cratered and are now rebounding eg residential real estate in select areas - but commercial is going to implode

4) YCI is insane

5) Liquidity has dried up

Yet - stocks like NVDA and LCID are at extreme valuations

I am currently short NVDA (long also deep in the money out to 2024 on a synthetic long).

Note Median Price to Sales Ratio on Nasdaq is 5.4.


But I may take a short flutter onLCID - but even though it is still richly valued the chart says it is already dead. 

Final note, I consider Tesla the top AI play on Earth today.... and things like NVDA make TSLA look VERY cheap. 

Nite all 

Comments

Anonymous

James, at current price of 185, do you think swapping all Google at 125 to tesla is a good move? nfa sir thanks

Anonymous

Night!

Anonymous

And thanks!

Anonymous

Debt Ceiling Raise Confirmation Rally, Pause Rally, Disinflation Downtrend...these are some things to smile about. Come what may, we shall weather this storm and pop out winners on the other side 😃

Anonymous

I'm so surprised to hear that Lucid is high, I thought they were at Bankruptcys door.

Anonymous

And thanks for sharing your thoughts James! You are so reliable and it's much appreciated!

Anonymous

I sold my little Nvidia thinking reached top but it keeps rising haha

Anonymous

Thanks James

Anonymous

What is YCI?

Anonymous

Still a few days until Nvidia earnings, could we see more upside before Wednesday then a possible sell off?

Anonymous

YCI=yeild curve inversion

Anonymous

Same story here haha. Still glad I did it though. This rally is just silly

JE

Ridiculous to think that people put their money there just because they feel they've missed the train on Tesla.

Anonymous

Buy Tesla and Bitcoin and relax. In 2030 you’ll be doing very well. 🙏

Anonymous

I don't see how Lucid is over priced?? Not saying it's under priced either. Could you elaborate?

Anonymous

Just sold mine too after this amazing run and doubling my initial investment. You don’t need to hit the top, just make gains. One step at a time.

Anonymous

sometimes markets don't make sense, I sold all my NVDA at $227 because I thought it had run way too fast, I sold my Googl at $108 for the same reason. Dont fight the price action, or may be in few months I will feel like a genius only time can tell

Anonymous

Let’s continue watching trend and momentum. Sprinkled w some macro.

Anonymous

We have a potential client in VRSK. I had no idea. Cool. Thanks!

Anonymous

it's price to sales in 18x, only one nigher is NVDA. see that chart

Anonymous

Mr James!!!!coul you tell us what brand mushroom coffee you like?I start moving towards Decaf but haven’t tried mushroom coffee yet, but my wife gave me Matcha from Ryse Company I know they famous for the Mushroom Coffee…..would be nice to hear what you like🙏thanks……Zeus

Anonymous

Thanks James. Your retire in $Tesla video gave me a brilliant idea of my targets. Just wouldn’t have been able to work that out without your detail analysis. It helps me and sure others plan on how to allocate and diversify.